County 24690, MD · Census Tract 24690000988 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$527K
Downside (P10)
$365K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$596K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$975K
+85% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +85%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24690 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $527K | $550K | $528K | $538K | $596K |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | -4.0% | +1.8% | +10.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $397K | $356K | $349K | $365K | |
| Upside (P90) | $718K | $732K | $838K | $975K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$447K to $657K
39.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$365K to $975K
102.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000522 | $532K | $570K | +7.1% |
| Tract 000344 | $518K | $544K | +5.0% |
| Tract 000807 | $518K | $545K | +5.2% |
| Tract 000221 | $575K | $599K | +4.2% |
| Tract 000645 | $474K | $577K | +21.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000302 | $437K | $641K | +46.6% |
| Tract 000043 | $377K | $489K | +30.0% |
| Tract 000425 | $372K | $470K | +26.3% |
| Tract 000661 | $375K | $470K | +25.5% |
| Tract 000645 | $474K | $577K | +21.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000661 | $375K | $470K | $427K |
| Tract 000043 | $377K | $489K | $430K |
| Tract 000425 | $372K | $470K | $452K |
| Tract 000302 | $437K | $641K | $481K |
| Tract 000645 | $474K | $577K | $590K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources