County 24680, MD · Census Tract 24680904366 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$498K
Downside (P10)
$554K
+11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$816K
+64% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.24M
+149% by 2030
Base case: +64% by 2030, with a forecast range from +11% to +149%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24680 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $498K | $614K | $662K | $707K | $816K |
| YoY Change | +23.1% | +7.8% | +6.9% | +15.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $489K | $485K | $483K | $554K | |
| Upside (P90) | $783K | $901K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$433K to $642K
41.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$554K to $1.24M
84.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 902902 | $447K | $732K | +63.6% |
| Tract 903024 | $447K | $695K | +55.4% |
| Tract 903383 | $430K | $707K | +64.5% |
| Tract 901822 | $430K | $722K | +68.1% |
| Tract 903985 | $427K | $693K | +62.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 903684 | $266K | $506K | +90.3% |
| Tract 901660 | $320K | $603K | +88.3% |
| Tract 904065 | $313K | $584K | +86.4% |
| Tract 903325 | $287K | $533K | +85.6% |
| Tract 903189 | $322K | $597K | +85.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 902148 | $322K | $508K | $374K |
| Tract 900328 | $263K | $480K | $441K |
| Tract 900807 | $257K | $440K | $460K |
| Tract 902083 | $343K | $558K | $461K |
| Tract 903927 | $258K | $449K | $465K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources