County 24345, MD · Census Tract 24345004158 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$700K
Downside (P10)
$411K
-41% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$743K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.35M
+92% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +92%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24345 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $700K | $788K | $762K | $733K | $743K |
| YoY Change | +12.5% | -3.3% | -3.8% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $522K | $456K | $392K | $411K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$543K to $947K
57.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$411K to $1.35M
125.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003007 | $701K | $832K | +18.8% |
| Tract 004006 | $701K | $717K | +2.3% |
| Tract 003450 | $699K | $755K | +8.0% |
| Tract 006651 | $703K | $791K | +12.4% |
| Tract 004200 | $697K | $763K | +9.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004608 | $712K | $995K | +39.6% |
| Tract 006457 | $624K | $798K | +27.9% |
| Tract 009056 | $635K | $782K | +23.0% |
| Tract 009700 | $631K | $758K | +20.1% |
| Tract 003007 | $701K | $832K | +18.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004608 | $712K | $995K | $727K |
| Tract 006509 | $631K | $731K | $850K |
| Tract 008701 | $704K | $755K | $858K |
| Tract 008905 | $666K | $746K | $859K |
| Tract 002956 | $682K | $742K | $864K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources