County 24210, MD · Census Tract 24210000384 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$889K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$732K
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.46M
+64% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +64%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24210 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $889K | $899K | $785K | $739K | $732K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | -12.7% | -5.9% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $506K | $417K | $357K | $341K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$639K to $1.19M
62.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$341K to $1.46M
152.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000407 | $837K | $652K | -22.1% |
| Tract 000342 | $829K | $685K | -17.4% |
| Tract 000300 | $819K | $647K | -21.0% |
| Tract 000067 | $787K | $710K | -9.8% |
| Tract 000025 | $784K | $634K | -19.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000067 | $787K | $710K | -9.8% |
| Tract 000342 | $829K | $685K | -17.4% |
| Tract 000025 | $784K | $634K | -19.1% |
| Tract 000300 | $819K | $647K | -21.0% |
| Tract 000407 | $837K | $652K | -22.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000342 | $829K | $685K | $911K |
| Tract 000407 | $837K | $652K | $976K |
| Tract 000025 | $784K | $634K | $979K |
| Tract 000067 | $787K | $710K | $1.06M |
| Tract 000300 | $819K | $647K | $1.08M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources