County 24000, MD · Census Tract 24000201584 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$374K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$549K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+177% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +177%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24000 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $374K | $435K | $486K | $497K | $549K |
| YoY Change | +16.4% | +11.7% | +2.4% | +10.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $336K | $330K | $312K | $327K | |
| Upside (P90) | $710K | $813K | $911K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$304K to $535K
61.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$327K to $1.03M
128.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200161 | $374K | $519K | +38.5% |
| Tract 201267 | $372K | $566K | +51.9% |
| Tract 200462 | $376K | $520K | +38.6% |
| Tract 300265 | $372K | $522K | +40.4% |
| Tract 200747 | $377K | $571K | +51.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201429 | $390K | $600K | +53.9% |
| Tract 201267 | $372K | $566K | +51.9% |
| Tract 200747 | $377K | $571K | +51.5% |
| Tract 201322 | $370K | $557K | +50.7% |
| Tract 201102 | $369K | $549K | +48.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 300061 | $388K | $474K | $392K |
| Tract 300281 | $381K | $484K | $404K |
| Tract 300265 | $372K | $522K | $411K |
| Tract 300689 | $357K | $442K | $442K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources