County 25932, MA · Census Tract 25932880001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.13M
Downside (P10)
$391K
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$847K
-25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.57M
+39% by 2030
Base case: -25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to +39%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25932 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $944K | $832K | $847K |
| YoY Change | -2.3% | -14.4% | -11.8% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $613K | $474K | $414K | $391K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$785K to $1.43M
57.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$391K to $1.57M
139.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920000 | $1.13M | $836K | -25.7% |
| Tract 200005 | $1.13M | $923K | -18.0% |
| Tract 840009 | $1.10M | $856K | -22.2% |
| Tract 560004 | $1.16M | $969K | -16.3% |
| Tract 680007 | $1.28M | $904K | -29.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560004 | $1.16M | $969K | -16.3% |
| Tract 200005 | $1.13M | $923K | -18.0% |
| Tract 840009 | $1.10M | $856K | -22.2% |
| Tract 480003 | $1.95M | $1.48M | -24.0% |
| Tract 360000 | $1.29M | $977K | -24.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680007 | $1.28M | $904K | $896K |
| Tract 200005 | $1.13M | $923K | $908K |
| Tract 360000 | $1.29M | $977K | $926K |
| Tract 840009 | $1.10M | $856K | $985K |
| Tract 720006 | $1.31M | $987K | $998K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources