County 25891, MA · Census Tract 25891711004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$39K
Downside (P10)
$30K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$52K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$104K
+169% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +169%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25891 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $39K | $46K | $47K | $47K | $52K |
| YoY Change | +18.2% | +2.8% | -0.0% | +10.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $33K | $31K | $29K | $30K | |
| Upside (P90) | $75K | $80K | $87K | $104K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$31K to $60K
75.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$30K to $104K
143.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700523 | $506K | $676K | +33.5% |
| Tract 700044 | $507K | $647K | +27.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700549 | $586K | $871K | +48.7% |
| Tract 700769 | $540K | $795K | +47.2% |
| Tract 000469 | $658K | $962K | +46.2% |
| Tract 000388 | $547K | $793K | +45.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 700044 | $507K | $647K | $553K |
| Tract 701221 | $543K | $730K | $560K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources