County 25118, MA · Census Tract 25118000582 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$797K
Downside (P10)
$311K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$624K
-22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+28% by 2030
Base case: -22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +28%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25118 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $797K | $770K | $675K | $629K | $624K |
| YoY Change | -3.4% | -12.3% | -6.9% | -0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $460K | $369K | $318K | $311K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $980K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$526K to $1.02M
61.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$311K to $1.02M
113.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000469 | $790K | $688K | -12.9% |
| Tract 000786 | $887K | $725K | -18.3% |
| Tract 000485 | $900K | $713K | -20.7% |
| Tract 020384 | $915K | $1.30M | +42.5% |
| Tract 001109 | $983K | $778K | -20.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020384 | $915K | $1.30M | +42.5% |
| Tract 020449 | $989K | $1.39M | +40.7% |
| Tract 020203 | $2.24M | $3.00M | +33.8% |
| Tract 020180 | $1.96M | $2.53M | +29.5% |
| Tract 020229 | $2.36M | $3.00M | +26.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources