County 25540, MA · Census Tract 25540012481 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$624K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$586K
-6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.01M
+62% by 2030
Base case: -6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +62%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25540 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $624K | $636K | $588K | $560K | $586K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | -7.6% | -4.7% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $394K | $284K | $280K | $303K | |
| Upside (P90) | $905K | $887K | $1.0M | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$487K to $804K
50.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$303K to $1.01M
121.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005346 | $623K | $651K | +4.6% |
| Tract 012407 | $633K | $547K | -13.6% |
| Tract 004729 | $613K | $727K | +18.6% |
| Tract 004664 | $641K | $570K | -11.0% |
| Tract 012944 | $602K | $582K | -3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 032966 | $735K | $1.09M | +48.5% |
| Tract 032144 | $652K | $823K | +26.1% |
| Tract 030308 | $592K | $730K | +23.3% |
| Tract 030201 | $738K | $906K | +22.8% |
| Tract 004729 | $613K | $727K | +18.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources