County 25540, MA · Census Tract 25540012203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$766K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$641K
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.21M
+58% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +58%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25540 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $766K | $748K | $691K | $631K | $641K |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | -7.6% | -8.7% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $459K | $390K | $327K | $297K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$561K to $1.03M
60.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$297K to $1.21M
142.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 032063 | $756K | $767K | +1.5% |
| Tract 012423 | $780K | $683K | -12.4% |
| Tract 012562 | $751K | $822K | +9.5% |
| Tract 032445 | $750K | $728K | -3.0% |
| Tract 032283 | $748K | $734K | -1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 032966 | $735K | $1.09M | +48.5% |
| Tract 032144 | $652K | $823K | +26.1% |
| Tract 030308 | $592K | $730K | +23.3% |
| Tract 030201 | $738K | $906K | +22.8% |
| Tract 004729 | $613K | $727K | +18.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources