County 25481, MA · Census Tract 25481160007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$518K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-43% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$598K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+125% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -43% to +125%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25481 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $518K | $594K | $566K | $566K | $598K |
| YoY Change | +14.7% | -4.7% | -0.0% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $335K | $316K | $283K | $295K | |
| Upside (P90) | $924K | $964K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$385K to $708K
62.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$295K to $1.16M
144.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680008 | $586K | $714K | +21.8% |
| Tract 000002 | $627K | $779K | +24.3% |
| Tract 480004 | $629K | $752K | +19.5% |
| Tract 240008 | $676K | $790K | +16.9% |
| Tract 720007 | $678K | $743K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $699K | $892K | +27.6% |
| Tract 000002 | $627K | $779K | +24.3% |
| Tract 680008 | $586K | $714K | +21.8% |
| Tract 480004 | $629K | $752K | +19.5% |
| Tract 240008 | $676K | $790K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680008 | $586K | $714K | $714K |
| Tract 280000 | $699K | $892K | $813K |
| Tract 480004 | $629K | $752K | $838K |
| Tract 000002 | $627K | $779K | $844K |
| Tract 040004 | $757K | $846K | $866K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources