County 25334, MA · Census Tract 25334000748 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.94M
Downside (P10)
$1.54M
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.12M
-28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.60M
-12% by 2030
Base case: -28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to -12%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 25334 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.9M | $2.8M | $2.6M | $2.3M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | -4.1% | -9.2% | -12.1% | -5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.5M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.1M | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.6M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.43M to $3.20M
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.54M to $2.60M
50.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001103 | $2.97M | $1.81M | -38.9% |
| Tract 000984 | $2.98M | $1.90M | -36.3% |
| Tract 000861 | $2.99M | $2.03M | -31.9% |
| Tract 001200 | $2.88M | $1.88M | -34.8% |
| Tract 001446 | $2.78M | $1.87M | -32.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000065 | $1.29M | $1.00M | -22.6% |
| Tract 001381 | $2.39M | $1.78M | -25.7% |
| Tract 000188 | $1.48M | $1.10M | -25.9% |
| Tract 000366 | $2.28M | $1.67M | -27.1% |
| Tract 000243 | $1.93M | $1.37M | -29.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000065 | $1.29M | $1.00M | $915K |
| Tract 000667 | $2.20M | $1.53M | $1.03M |
| Tract 000489 | $2.40M | $1.67M | $1.03M |
| Tract 000366 | $2.28M | $1.67M | $1.04M |
| Tract 000243 | $1.93M | $1.37M | $1.10M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources