County 25315, MA · Census Tract 25315000880 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.36M
Downside (P10)
$1.15M
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.45M
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.94M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 25315 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +11.8% | -1.5% | -5.6% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.8M | $1.9M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.29M to $1.53M
18.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.15M to $1.94M
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000660 | $1.37M | $1.38M | +1.2% |
| Tract 000220 | $1.36M | $1.44M | +6.1% |
| Tract 000385 | $1.33M | $1.33M | +0.3% |
| Tract 000165 | $1.25M | $1.39M | +11.0% |
| Tract 000327 | $1.25M | $1.32M | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000563 | $1.21M | $1.37M | +13.0% |
| Tract 000165 | $1.25M | $1.39M | +11.0% |
| Tract 000505 | $1.21M | $1.33M | +9.8% |
| Tract 000220 | $1.36M | $1.44M | +6.1% |
| Tract 000327 | $1.25M | $1.32M | +5.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000547 | $1.18M | $1.21M | $538K |
| Tract 000301 | $1.76M | $1.60M | $593K |
| Tract 000385 | $1.33M | $1.33M | $602K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources