County 25000, MA · Census Tract 25000000645 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$177K
Downside (P10)
$162K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$257K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$416K
+135% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +135%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25000 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $177K | $214K | $224K | $238K | $257K |
| YoY Change | +21.3% | +4.6% | +6.2% | +7.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $162K | $154K | $151K | $162K | |
| Upside (P90) | $288K | $309K | $357K | $416K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$154K to $222K
38.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$162K to $416K
98.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000441 | $176K | $262K | +49.0% |
| Tract 000140 | $170K | $256K | +50.5% |
| Tract 000483 | $168K | $255K | +51.2% |
| Tract 000302 | $164K | $232K | +41.6% |
| Tract 000166 | $154K | $238K | +54.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000166 | $154K | $238K | +54.2% |
| Tract 000483 | $168K | $255K | +51.2% |
| Tract 000140 | $170K | $256K | +50.5% |
| Tract 000441 | $176K | $262K | +49.0% |
| Tract 000409 | $220K | $317K | +44.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000483 | $168K | $255K | $203K |
| Tract 000166 | $154K | $238K | $220K |
| Tract 000140 | $170K | $256K | $229K |
| Tract 000302 | $164K | $232K | $231K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources