County 22945, LA · Census Tract 22945012403 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$633K
Downside (P10)
$486K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$991K
+56% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.37M
+274% by 2030
Base case: +56% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +274%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22945 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $633K | $803K | $857K | $912K | $991K |
| YoY Change | +26.8% | +6.7% | +6.4% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $552K | $496K | $478K | $486K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.8M | $2.0M | $2.4M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$505K to $1.14M
99.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$486K to $2.37M
189.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012241 | $655K | $1.07M | +63.3% |
| Tract 012364 | $611K | $1.14M | +85.6% |
| Tract 012306 | $604K | $955K | +58.0% |
| Tract 010243 | $592K | $597K | +0.8% |
| Tract 011349 | $584K | $727K | +24.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012364 | $611K | $1.14M | +85.6% |
| Tract 012241 | $655K | $1.07M | +63.3% |
| Tract 012306 | $604K | $955K | +58.0% |
| Tract 012542 | $701K | $1.08M | +54.4% |
| Tract 001087 | $366K | $517K | +41.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000101 | $344K | $432K | $369K |
| Tract 000509 | $346K | $438K | $399K |
| Tract 000787 | $386K | $447K | $399K |
| Tract 000826 | $336K | $464K | $413K |
| Tract 001045 | $345K | $456K | $423K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources