County 22990, LA · Census Tract 22990000486 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.65M
Downside (P10)
$1.43M
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.27M
-38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.98M
-18% by 2030
Base case: -38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to -18%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22990 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.6M | $3.4M | $2.8M | $2.4M | $2.3M |
| YoY Change | -6.6% | -17.4% | -13.9% | -6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.2M | $1.8M | $1.5M | $1.4M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.0M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $3.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.68M to $4.06M
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.43M to $2.98M
68.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000282 | $3.63M | $2.27M | -37.4% |
| Tract 000525 | $3.60M | $2.43M | -32.4% |
| Tract 000664 | $3.77M | $2.56M | -32.2% |
| Tract 000240 | $4.50M | $3.20M | -29.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000240 | $4.50M | $3.20M | -29.0% |
| Tract 000664 | $3.77M | $2.56M | -32.2% |
| Tract 000525 | $3.60M | $2.43M | -32.4% |
| Tract 000282 | $3.63M | $2.27M | -37.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000240 | $4.50M | $3.20M | $1.14M |
| Tract 000525 | $3.60M | $2.43M | $1.28M |
| Tract 000282 | $3.63M | $2.27M | $1.58M |
| Tract 000664 | $3.77M | $2.56M | $1.58M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources