County 22947, LA · Census Tract 22947001166 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$734K
Downside (P10)
$348K
-53% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$672K
-8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+55% by 2030
Base case: -8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -53% to +55%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22947 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $734K | $760K | $684K | $674K | $672K |
| YoY Change | +3.5% | -10.0% | -1.4% | -0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $365K | $340K | $348K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$594K to $956K
49.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$348K to $1.14M
117.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001108 | $736K | $727K | -1.1% |
| Tract 000523 | $732K | $720K | -1.6% |
| Tract 000329 | $731K | $708K | -3.2% |
| Tract 001580 | $730K | $720K | -1.3% |
| Tract 001629 | $729K | $674K | -7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000468 | $721K | $771K | +7.0% |
| Tract 000280 | $712K | $733K | +3.0% |
| Tract 001467 | $742K | $759K | +2.3% |
| Tract 000581 | $715K | $718K | +0.4% |
| Tract 001768 | $701K | $697K | -0.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000222 | $763K | $718K | $762K |
| Tract 001726 | $696K | $680K | $767K |
| Tract 001108 | $736K | $727K | $776K |
| Tract 001425 | $746K | $665K | $778K |
| Tract 000882 | $765K | $660K | $784K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources