County 22452, LA · Census Tract 22452000461 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$584K
Downside (P10)
$517K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$881K
+51% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.74M
+198% by 2030
Base case: +51% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +198%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22452 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $584K | $756K | $766K | $794K | $881K |
| YoY Change | +29.4% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +10.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $544K | $497K | $465K | $517K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$481K to $895K
70.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$517K to $1.74M
138.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000681 | $581K | $920K | +58.2% |
| Tract 001428 | $588K | $975K | +65.9% |
| Tract 000429 | $588K | $831K | +41.3% |
| Tract 001020 | $577K | $584K | +1.1% |
| Tract 000720 | $594K | $911K | +53.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000225 | $530K | $893K | +68.6% |
| Tract 001428 | $588K | $975K | +65.9% |
| Tract 000241 | $500K | $811K | +62.3% |
| Tract 001525 | $531K | $848K | +59.6% |
| Tract 000908 | $573K | $914K | +59.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000267 | $416K | $508K | $292K |
| Tract 000380 | $448K | $540K | $358K |
| Tract 001680 | $479K | $469K | $593K |
| Tract 000982 | $509K | $578K | $698K |
| Tract 000500 | $562K | $698K | $737K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources