County 22726, LA · Census Tract 22726009185 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$539K
Downside (P10)
$380K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$693K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.25M
+132% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +132%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22726 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $539K | $592K | $599K | $638K | $693K |
| YoY Change | +9.8% | +1.2% | +6.4% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $430K | $386K | $374K | $380K | |
| Upside (P90) | $811K | $913K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$465K to $649K
34.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$380K to $1.25M
125.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 009143 | $548K | $690K | +26.1% |
| Tract 009923 | $550K | $742K | +34.9% |
| Tract 005529 | $551K | $680K | +23.5% |
| Tract 010721 | $551K | $719K | +30.5% |
| Tract 010022 | $554K | $800K | +44.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002069 | $905K | $1.39M | +54.1% |
| Tract 002027 | $961K | $1.48M | +53.9% |
| Tract 002548 | $952K | $1.43M | +50.1% |
| Tract 002425 | $905K | $1.36M | +49.7% |
| Tract 010705 | $193K | $285K | +47.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources