County 22690, LA · Census Tract 22690002409 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$575K
Downside (P10)
$619K
+8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$838K
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+126% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from +8% to +126%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22690 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $575K | $686K | $737K | $738K | $838K |
| YoY Change | +19.3% | +7.4% | +0.1% | +13.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $555K | $542K | $547K | $619K | |
| Upside (P90) | $860K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$502K to $701K
34.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$619K to $1.30M
81.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002700 | $575K | $888K | +54.4% |
| Tract 002221 | $574K | $903K | +57.2% |
| Tract 002247 | $586K | $938K | +59.9% |
| Tract 002140 | $558K | $879K | +57.4% |
| Tract 002483 | $605K | $840K | +38.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000388 | $390K | $649K | +66.5% |
| Tract 000223 | $391K | $648K | +65.5% |
| Tract 000346 | $414K | $675K | +63.1% |
| Tract 000663 | $414K | $664K | +60.5% |
| Tract 000469 | $411K | $659K | +60.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000524 | $384K | $582K | $457K |
| Tract 000346 | $414K | $675K | $464K |
| Tract 000168 | $463K | $710K | $476K |
| Tract 000223 | $391K | $648K | $499K |
| Tract 000469 | $411K | $659K | $502K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources