County 22674, LA · Census Tract 22674000281 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$652K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.06M
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.95M
+185% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +185%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22674 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $684K | $836K | $886K | $905K | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +22.2% | +5.9% | +2.2% | +16.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $602K | $586K | $575K | $652K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$582K to $919K
49.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$652K to $1.95M
122.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003424 | $679K | $953K | +40.3% |
| Tract 003343 | $675K | $1.00M | +48.2% |
| Tract 000508 | $694K | $966K | +39.3% |
| Tract 010323 | $657K | $920K | +40.0% |
| Tract 000605 | $656K | $954K | +45.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002742 | $570K | $1.08M | +89.6% |
| Tract 001400 | $566K | $1.03M | +81.9% |
| Tract 003181 | $602K | $1.08M | +79.2% |
| Tract 010488 | $326K | $578K | +76.9% |
| Tract 008966 | $615K | $1.05M | +70.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources