County 22360, LA · Census Tract 22360022104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$587K
Downside (P10)
$385K
-34% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$692K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+114% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -34% to +114%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22360 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $587K | $615K | $623K | $632K | $692K |
| YoY Change | +4.8% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +9.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $461K | $387K | $383K | $385K | |
| Upside (P90) | $860K | $922K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$473K to $738K
45.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$385K to $1.26M
126.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 023909 | $587K | $672K | +14.5% |
| Tract 010527 | $587K | $734K | +25.1% |
| Tract 021228 | $589K | $715K | +21.3% |
| Tract 010242 | $585K | $670K | +14.5% |
| Tract 010624 | $591K | $734K | +24.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 021121 | $570K | $729K | +27.8% |
| Tract 022227 | $534K | $678K | +26.9% |
| Tract 020708 | $569K | $722K | +26.8% |
| Tract 022285 | $534K | $674K | +26.3% |
| Tract 022366 | $566K | $711K | +25.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 021464 | $593K | $616K | $614K |
| Tract 023488 | $565K | $588K | $626K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources