County 22683, LA · Census Tract 22683004427 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$438K
Downside (P10)
$423K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$646K
+48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$992K
+127% by 2030
Base case: +48% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +127%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22683 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $438K | $496K | $531K | $565K | $646K |
| YoY Change | +13.3% | +7.1% | +6.2% | +14.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $396K | $387K | $423K | |
| Upside (P90) | $636K | $710K | $792K | $992K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$400K to $509K
24.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$423K to $992K
88.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003745 | $434K | $513K | +18.1% |
| Tract 003583 | $447K | $611K | +36.7% |
| Tract 001585 | $427K | $517K | +21.0% |
| Tract 000405 | $449K | $745K | +66.0% |
| Tract 003868 | $450K | $639K | +41.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003363 | $475K | $801K | +68.4% |
| Tract 004508 | $582K | $979K | +68.2% |
| Tract 000405 | $449K | $745K | +66.0% |
| Tract 003282 | $382K | $592K | +54.9% |
| Tract 001187 | $403K | $618K | +53.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources