County 22671, LA · Census Tract 22671003812 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.74M
Downside (P10)
$1.97M
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.19M
-20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.48M
-10% by 2030
Base case: -20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to -10%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22671 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.8M | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | +2.7% | -12.7% | -11.3% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.6M | $2.2M | $2.0M | $2.0M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.55M to $2.94M
14.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.97M to $2.48M
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003304 | $2.29M | $1.76M | -23.3% |
| Tract 201300 | $4.64M | $4.33M | -6.6% |
| Tract 005506 | $782K | $1.14M | +45.9% |
| Tract 200220 | $778K | $876K | +12.6% |
| Tract 200123 | $724K | $880K | +21.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005399 | $157K | $242K | +53.8% |
| Tract 005506 | $782K | $1.14M | +45.9% |
| Tract 201504 | $252K | $336K | +33.4% |
| Tract 200123 | $724K | $880K | +21.5% |
| Tract 200220 | $778K | $876K | +12.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources