County 22435, LA · Census Tract 22435012683 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$775K
Downside (P10)
$641K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$856K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +46%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22435 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $775K | $792K | $804K | $856K | $856K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +1.5% | +6.4% | -0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $688K | $652K | $658K | $641K | |
| Upside (P90) | $906K | $993K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$711K to $840K
16.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$641K to $1.13M
56.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 302908 | $779K | $1.12M | +44.0% |
| Tract 302089 | $764K | $923K | +20.8% |
| Tract 150545 | $763K | $1.21M | +58.5% |
| Tract 151366 | $763K | $1.24M | +62.6% |
| Tract 150202 | $789K | $1.31M | +66.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 150202 | $789K | $1.31M | +66.4% |
| Tract 003744 | $510K | $833K | +63.2% |
| Tract 003469 | $499K | $812K | +62.7% |
| Tract 151366 | $763K | $1.24M | +62.6% |
| Tract 004468 | $434K | $703K | +62.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources