County 22600, LA · Census Tract 22600004484 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$651K
Downside (P10)
$360K
-45% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$631K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.19M
+83% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -45% to +83%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22600 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $651K | $676K | $627K | $607K | $631K |
| YoY Change | +3.9% | -7.4% | -3.1% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $433K | $366K | $337K | $360K | |
| Upside (P90) | $972K | $995K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$511K to $844K
51.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$360K to $1.19M
131.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001607 | $646K | $672K | +3.9% |
| Tract 000446 | $644K | $673K | +4.5% |
| Tract 002185 | $660K | $629K | -4.7% |
| Tract 000789 | $661K | $682K | +3.1% |
| Tract 002347 | $668K | $754K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004206 | $600K | $714K | +19.2% |
| Tract 002907 | $671K | $761K | +13.4% |
| Tract 002347 | $668K | $754K | +12.8% |
| Tract 000145 | $687K | $756K | +10.1% |
| Tract 001746 | $633K | $690K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003524 | $727K | $677K | $763K |
| Tract 001801 | $621K | $653K | $794K |
| Tract 001746 | $633K | $690K | $811K |
| Tract 003702 | $624K | $608K | $812K |
| Tract 000640 | $673K | $680K | $817K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources