County 22495, LA · Census Tract 22495034258 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.21M
Downside (P10)
$902K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.47M
-34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.10M
-5% by 2030
Base case: -34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to -5%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22495 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.2M | $2.0M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | -7.5% | -15.0% | -13.8% | -2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.0M | $941K | $902K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.3M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.62M to $2.58M
43.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$902K to $2.10M
81.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 032807 | $2.19M | $1.57M | -28.1% |
| Tract 034850 | $2.17M | $1.52M | -30.1% |
| Tract 035354 | $2.10M | $1.56M | -25.8% |
| Tract 034106 | $2.37M | $1.75M | -26.3% |
| Tract 035150 | $2.39M | $1.98M | -17.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 035150 | $2.39M | $1.98M | -17.4% |
| Tract 035257 | $2.54M | $1.94M | -23.7% |
| Tract 033204 | $1.88M | $1.42M | -24.5% |
| Tract 034708 | $1.92M | $1.43M | -25.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 035150 | $2.39M | $1.98M | $614K |
| Tract 035257 | $2.54M | $1.94M | $764K |
| Tract 035354 | $2.10M | $1.56M | $947K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources