County 22185, LA · Census Tract 22185000725 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$291K
Downside (P10)
$282K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$412K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$626K
+115% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +115%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22185 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $291K | $330K | $349K | $362K | $412K |
| YoY Change | +13.7% | +5.6% | +3.6% | +13.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $255K | $260K | $282K | |
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $481K | $547K | $626K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$250K to $347K
33.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$282K to $626K
83.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000644 | $290K | $406K | +39.9% |
| Tract 001821 | $293K | $393K | +34.2% |
| Tract 000165 | $294K | $418K | +42.2% |
| Tract 000660 | $286K | $386K | +35.0% |
| Tract 000505 | $285K | $383K | +34.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000547 | $277K | $405K | +46.5% |
| Tract 000589 | $277K | $404K | +45.8% |
| Tract 002765 | $259K | $375K | +44.7% |
| Tract 000107 | $297K | $424K | +42.9% |
| Tract 000327 | $281K | $401K | +42.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002325 | $263K | $364K | $261K |
| Tract 002820 | $269K | $365K | $262K |
| Tract 002228 | $268K | $351K | $264K |
| Tract 000822 | $273K | $365K | $280K |
| Tract 002765 | $259K | $375K | $283K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources