County 22460, LA · Census Tract 22460000123 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$353K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$652K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+90% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +90%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22460 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $684K | $686K | $617K | $607K | $652K |
| YoY Change | +0.2% | -10.1% | -1.6% | +7.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $452K | $360K | $342K | $353K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$529K to $913K
56.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$353K to $1.30M
145.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000220 | $684K | $702K | +2.5% |
| Tract 000806 | $688K | $758K | +10.2% |
| Tract 000343 | $680K | $713K | +4.8% |
| Tract 000686 | $675K | $696K | +3.1% |
| Tract 000262 | $699K | $684K | -2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000660 | $707K | $800K | +13.2% |
| Tract 000806 | $688K | $758K | +10.2% |
| Tract 000521 | $668K | $710K | +6.4% |
| Tract 000741 | $724K | $760K | +4.9% |
| Tract 000343 | $680K | $713K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $714K | $713K | $708K |
| Tract 000220 | $684K | $702K | $728K |
| Tract 000424 | $702K | $728K | $741K |
| Tract 000262 | $699K | $684K | $787K |
| Tract 000301 | $715K | $716K | $800K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources