County 22452, LA · Census Tract 22452000649 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$612K
Downside (P10)
$466K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$897K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.84M
+202% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +202%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22452 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $612K | $774K | $803K | $818K | $897K |
| YoY Change | +26.6% | +3.7% | +1.9% | +9.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $522K | $416K | $412K | $466K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$467K to $972K
82.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$466K to $1.84M
153.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001185 | $604K | $820K | +35.6% |
| Tract 000487 | $604K | $884K | +46.4% |
| Tract 000869 | $603K | $932K | +54.6% |
| Tract 001266 | $602K | $951K | +57.9% |
| Tract 000720 | $594K | $911K | +53.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000225 | $530K | $893K | +68.6% |
| Tract 001428 | $588K | $975K | +65.9% |
| Tract 000241 | $500K | $811K | +62.3% |
| Tract 001525 | $531K | $848K | +59.6% |
| Tract 000908 | $573K | $914K | +59.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000267 | $416K | $508K | $292K |
| Tract 000380 | $448K | $540K | $358K |
| Tract 001680 | $479K | $469K | $593K |
| Tract 000982 | $509K | $578K | $698K |
| Tract 000500 | $562K | $698K | $737K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources