County 22430, LA · Census Tract 22430009264 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$308K
Downside (P10)
$374K
+21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$489K
+59% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$634K
+106% by 2030
Base case: +59% by 2030, with a forecast range from +21% to +106%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22430 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $308K | $370K | $408K | $431K | $489K |
| YoY Change | +20.2% | +10.0% | +5.9% | +13.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $321K | $344K | $357K | $374K | |
| Upside (P90) | $428K | $489K | $554K | $634K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$278K to $349K
23.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$374K to $634K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 009442 | $308K | $484K | +57.2% |
| Tract 009866 | $308K | $454K | +47.4% |
| Tract 008883 | $309K | $454K | +46.7% |
| Tract 018365 | $310K | $412K | +32.7% |
| Tract 008524 | $306K | $450K | +47.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015245 | $296K | $635K | +114.9% |
| Tract 015083 | $324K | $694K | +114.0% |
| Tract 015122 | $292K | $580K | +98.2% |
| Tract 016422 | $348K | $672K | +93.1% |
| Tract 015300 | $359K | $681K | +89.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources