County 22353, LA · Census Tract 22353004207 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$475K
Downside (P10)
$510K
+7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$725K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$941K
+98% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from +7% to +98%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22353 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $475K | $524K | $577K | $629K | $725K |
| YoY Change | +10.3% | +10.0% | +9.0% | +15.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $430K | $443K | $480K | $510K | |
| Upside (P90) | $657K | $745K | $857K | $941K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$428K to $552K
26.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$510K to $941K
59.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003907 | $474K | $678K | +43.0% |
| Tract 003266 | $477K | $709K | +48.8% |
| Tract 004401 | $478K | $666K | +39.2% |
| Tract 002665 | $471K | $660K | +40.0% |
| Tract 003826 | $482K | $680K | +41.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000764 | $59K | $92K | +54.1% |
| Tract 003208 | $536K | $823K | +53.6% |
| Tract 000625 | $502K | $763K | +51.9% |
| Tract 004621 | $512K | $769K | +50.1% |
| Tract 002704 | $493K | $738K | +49.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000764 | $59K | $92K | $134K |
| Tract 004540 | $487K | $640K | $372K |
| Tract 000081 | $505K | $623K | $380K |
| Tract 000900 | $484K | $663K | $407K |
| Tract 001941 | $512K | $687K | $420K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources