County 22295, LA · Census Tract 22295001122 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.40M
Downside (P10)
$475K
-66% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$988K
-29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.64M
+17% by 2030
Base case: -29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -66% to +17%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22295 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $988K |
| YoY Change | -4.4% | -17.7% | -7.7% | -2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $748K | $573K | $484K | $475K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.01M to $1.77M
54.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$475K to $1.64M
117.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001326 | $1.39M | $964K | -30.5% |
| Tract 000327 | $1.41M | $951K | -32.7% |
| Tract 000929 | $1.37M | $1.01M | -26.5% |
| Tract 000521 | $1.36M | $904K | -33.6% |
| Tract 001724 | $1.44M | $1.12M | -22.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $142K | $218K | +53.2% |
| Tract 000440 | $693K | $684K | -1.4% |
| Tract 000589 | $722K | $698K | -3.2% |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | -3.6% |
| Tract 001025 | $731K | $694K | -5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $142K | $218K | $200K |
| Tract 000961 | $733K | $641K | $804K |
| Tract 001041 | $726K | $650K | $879K |
| Tract 001180 | $744K | $638K | $887K |
| Tract 000563 | $730K | $704K | $892K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources