County 21985, KY · Census Tract 21985000463 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$288K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$382K
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$539K
+87% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +87%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21985 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $288K | $331K | $348K | $358K | $382K |
| YoY Change | +15.1% | +5.1% | +2.8% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $239K | $237K | $259K | |
| Upside (P90) | $418K | $453K | $479K | $539K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$242K to $349K
36.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$259K to $539K
73.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003305 | $288K | $360K | +24.9% |
| Tract 001268 | $286K | $389K | +35.8% |
| Tract 001242 | $286K | $396K | +38.6% |
| Tract 000926 | $285K | $422K | +47.8% |
| Tract 000764 | $283K | $371K | +31.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002487 | $261K | $395K | +51.4% |
| Tract 000926 | $285K | $422K | +47.8% |
| Tract 000049 | $269K | $396K | +47.2% |
| Tract 000188 | $333K | $490K | +47.1% |
| Tract 000544 | $281K | $409K | +45.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003305 | $288K | $360K | $247K |
| Tract 002487 | $261K | $395K | $282K |
| Tract 002908 | $276K | $366K | $294K |
| Tract 000447 | $280K | $389K | $301K |
| Tract 001242 | $286K | $396K | $303K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources