County 21968, KY · Census Tract 21968201043 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.47M
Downside (P10)
$1.30M
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.72M
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.26M
+53% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +53%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 21968 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.9M | $2.2M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.38M to $1.64M
17.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.30M to $2.26M
55.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201085 | $1.52M | $1.88M | +23.2% |
| Tract 100128 | $1.23M | $1.79M | +45.5% |
| Tract 200743 | $1.14M | $1.43M | +25.5% |
| Tract 200688 | $1.08M | $1.45M | +34.1% |
| Tract 200141 | $1.07M | $1.39M | +30.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100128 | $1.23M | $1.79M | +45.5% |
| Tract 201386 | $1.06M | $1.51M | +43.0% |
| Tract 201263 | $995K | $1.39M | +40.0% |
| Tract 200468 | $1.01M | $1.41M | +39.9% |
| Tract 200882 | $1.05M | $1.45M | +38.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200785 | $1.00M | $1.27M | $782K |
| Tract 200989 | $994K | $1.32M | $794K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources