County 21835, KY · Census Tract 21835000144 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$267K
Downside (P10)
$277K
+4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$414K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$596K
+124% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from +4% to +124%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21835 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $267K | $317K | $332K | $363K | $414K |
| YoY Change | +18.7% | +4.9% | +9.4% | +13.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $247K | $243K | $252K | $277K | |
| Upside (P90) | $407K | $456K | $490K | $596K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$230K to $315K
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$277K to $596K
77.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000241 | $266K | $375K | +41.0% |
| Tract 001088 | $264K | $386K | +46.2% |
| Tract 000704 | $263K | $361K | +37.2% |
| Tract 000568 | $262K | $358K | +36.3% |
| Tract 000128 | $262K | $382K | +45.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000869 | $252K | $387K | +53.7% |
| Tract 001127 | $253K | $379K | +49.8% |
| Tract 000487 | $260K | $385K | +48.0% |
| Tract 000665 | $252K | $370K | +46.9% |
| Tract 001088 | $264K | $386K | +46.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000128 | $262K | $382K | $252K |
| Tract 000283 | $252K | $362K | $253K |
| Tract 000623 | $252K | $365K | $258K |
| Tract 000568 | $262K | $358K | $263K |
| Tract 001224 | $261K | $363K | $270K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources