County 21800, KY · Census Tract 21800012387 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$618K
Downside (P10)
$483K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$807K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.49M
+142% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +142%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 21800 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $618K | $712K | $731K | $775K | $807K |
| YoY Change | +15.3% | +2.7% | +6.0% | +4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $525K | $520K | $486K | $483K | |
| Upside (P90) | $964K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$532K to $735K
32.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$483K to $1.49M
125.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010826 | $610K | $800K | +31.1% |
| Tract 012002 | $631K | $867K | +37.4% |
| Tract 012785 | $635K | $876K | +38.0% |
| Tract 011126 | $597K | $778K | +30.4% |
| Tract 011663 | $645K | $887K | +37.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002009 | $225K | $358K | +59.4% |
| Tract 002368 | $216K | $343K | +58.9% |
| Tract 003066 | $203K | $323K | +58.8% |
| Tract 003040 | $215K | $338K | +57.2% |
| Tract 003163 | $212K | $327K | +53.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000360 | $202K | $279K | $227K |
| Tract 000221 | $207K | $282K | $239K |
| Tract 001149 | $200K | $306K | $241K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources