County 20835, KS · Census Tract 20835000763 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.08M
Downside (P10)
$435K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$861K
-20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+32% by 2030
Base case: -20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +32%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 20835 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $970K | $889K | $861K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | -11.6% | -8.3% | -3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $632K | $499K | $453K | $435K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$793K to $1.39M
55.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$435K to $1.42M
114.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000284 | $1.08M | $945K | -12.4% |
| Tract 000543 | $1.08M | $862K | -20.2% |
| Tract 000705 | $1.07M | $921K | -13.8% |
| Tract 000967 | $1.09M | $899K | -17.5% |
| Tract 000666 | $1.06M | $832K | -21.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000284 | $1.08M | $945K | -12.4% |
| Tract 001144 | $1.09M | $948K | -13.3% |
| Tract 000705 | $1.07M | $921K | -13.8% |
| Tract 000640 | $1.29M | $1.09M | -15.1% |
| Tract 000501 | $1.06M | $882K | -16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000488 | $1.04M | $848K | $909K |
| Tract 000925 | $1.09M | $886K | $925K |
| Tract 000284 | $1.08M | $945K | $952K |
| Tract 000967 | $1.09M | $899K | $1.05M |
| Tract 000543 | $1.08M | $862K | $1.09M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources