County 20810, KS · Census Tract 20810040007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$453K
Downside (P10)
$266K
-41% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$522K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$924K
+104% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +104%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 20810 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $453K | $493K | $477K | $482K | $522K |
| YoY Change | +9.0% | -3.3% | +1.2% | +8.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $367K | $284K | $272K | $266K | |
| Upside (P90) | $699K | $742K | $803K | $924K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$385K to $563K
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$266K to $924K
126.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200009 | $482K | $561K | +16.6% |
| Tract 080009 | $482K | $512K | +6.3% |
| Tract 520006 | $484K | $518K | +7.1% |
| Tract 800001 | $488K | $609K | +24.7% |
| Tract 320002 | $491K | $531K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800001 | $488K | $609K | +24.7% |
| Tract 720000 | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
| Tract 160000 | $573K | $682K | +19.1% |
| Tract 240001 | $494K | $581K | +17.7% |
| Tract 920004 | $540K | $631K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520006 | $484K | $518K | $567K |
| Tract 080009 | $482K | $512K | $587K |
| Tract 800001 | $488K | $609K | $628K |
| Tract 880005 | $576K | $638K | $726K |
| Tract 200009 | $482K | $561K | $728K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources