County 20764, KS · Census Tract 20764721809 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$649K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$590K
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.29M
+98% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +98%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 20764 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $649K | $674K | $582K | $580K | $590K |
| YoY Change | +3.8% | -13.6% | -0.3% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $389K | $311K | $277K | $278K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$465K to $948K
74.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $1.29M
170.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 722222 | $382K | $430K | +12.7% |
| Tract 721906 | $299K | $418K | +40.1% |
| Tract 280007 | $287K | $453K | +57.8% |
| Tract 731608 | $194K | $267K | +37.5% |
| Tract 731307 | $168K | $264K | +56.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 722002 | $108K | $175K | +61.7% |
| Tract 280007 | $287K | $453K | +57.8% |
| Tract 731307 | $168K | $264K | +56.4% |
| Tract 721304 | $103K | $145K | +41.3% |
| Tract 731404 | $142K | $199K | +40.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 731404 | $142K | $199K | $194K |
| Tract 721304 | $103K | $145K | $195K |
| Tract 722002 | $108K | $175K | $207K |
| Tract 731307 | $168K | $264K | $242K |
| Tract 731608 | $194K | $267K | $281K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources