County 20385, KS · Census Tract 20385001746 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.10M
Downside (P10)
$488K
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$870K
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.45M
+32% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to +32%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 20385 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $994K | $879K | $870K |
| YoY Change | -0.5% | -8.8% | -11.5% | -1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $784K | $641K | $518K | $488K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$918K to $1.35M
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$488K to $1.45M
110.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002062 | $1.10M | $850K | -22.8% |
| Tract 000307 | $1.09M | $833K | -23.3% |
| Tract 000446 | $1.12M | $846K | -24.3% |
| Tract 000967 | $1.07M | $912K | -14.4% |
| Tract 000925 | $1.14M | $849K | -25.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000967 | $1.07M | $912K | -14.4% |
| Tract 000802 | $994K | $837K | -15.8% |
| Tract 000488 | $989K | $820K | -17.1% |
| Tract 000624 | $1.17M | $953K | -18.2% |
| Tract 001102 | $1.01M | $820K | -19.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001429 | $1.04M | $826K | $775K |
| Tract 001102 | $1.01M | $820K | $821K |
| Tract 000420 | $1.76M | $1.26M | $854K |
| Tract 000446 | $1.12M | $846K | $864K |
| Tract 000488 | $989K | $820K | $902K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources