County 17849, IL · Census Tract 17849000267 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.39M
Downside (P10)
$1.62M
-32% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.95M
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.25M
-6% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -32% to -6%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 17849 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.4M | $2.5M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | +4.9% | -14.1% | -11.2% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.2M | $1.8M | $1.6M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.8M | $2.4M | $2.2M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.21M to $2.56M
14.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.62M to $2.25M
32.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000348 | $2.48M | $2.07M | -16.4% |
| Tract 000160 | $2.27M | $1.95M | -14.4% |
| Tract 000063 | $2.24M | $1.91M | -14.6% |
| Tract 000102 | $2.22M | $1.86M | -16.4% |
| Tract 000322 | $1.88M | $1.61M | -14.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000869 | $1.43M | $1.34M | -6.5% |
| Tract 000885 | $1.60M | $1.48M | -7.3% |
| Tract 000380 | $1.83M | $1.65M | -10.0% |
| Tract 000403 | $1.84M | $1.64M | -10.5% |
| Tract 000322 | $1.88M | $1.61M | -14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000869 | $1.43M | $1.34M | $518K |
| Tract 000348 | $2.48M | $2.07M | $519K |
| Tract 000885 | $1.60M | $1.48M | $533K |
| Tract 000102 | $2.22M | $1.86M | $574K |
| Tract 000322 | $1.88M | $1.61M | $586K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources