County 17645, IL · Census Tract 17645000322 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.45M
Downside (P10)
$1.93M
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.74M
-38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.37M
-24% by 2030
Base case: -38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to -24%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 17645 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.5M | $4.0M | $3.4M | $2.8M | $2.7M |
| YoY Change | -9.7% | -15.9% | -16.1% | -3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.9M | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.6M | $4.0M | $3.4M | $3.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.53M to $4.85M
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.93M to $3.37M
52.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001525 | $4.33M | $2.51M | -42.0% |
| Tract 001143 | $4.30M | $2.65M | -38.4% |
| Tract 001046 | $4.19M | $2.46M | -41.2% |
| Tract 000445 | $4.16M | $2.78M | -33.2% |
| Tract 001266 | $3.97M | $2.67M | -32.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000283 | $3.22M | $2.22M | -31.1% |
| Tract 001266 | $3.97M | $2.67M | -32.6% |
| Tract 000445 | $4.16M | $2.78M | -33.2% |
| Tract 001208 | $3.33M | $2.21M | -33.6% |
| Tract 001088 | $3.39M | $2.21M | -34.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000283 | $3.22M | $2.22M | $1.29M |
| Tract 001208 | $3.33M | $2.21M | $1.35M |
| Tract 001088 | $3.39M | $2.21M | $1.41M |
| Tract 001389 | $3.47M | $2.24M | $1.44M |
| Tract 000144 | $3.69M | $2.34M | $1.46M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources