County 17610, IL · Census Tract 17610640005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$536K
Downside (P10)
$235K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$528K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+105% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +105%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 17610 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $536K | $555K | $513K | $508K | $528K |
| YoY Change | +3.5% | -7.5% | -1.1% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $249K | $236K | $235K | |
| Upside (P90) | $888K | $988K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$389K to $754K
68.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$235K to $1.10M
163.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440001 | $539K | $519K | -3.8% |
| Tract 120004 | $441K | $484K | +9.8% |
| Tract 320008 | $435K | $512K | +17.8% |
| Tract 760008 | $354K | $414K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320008 | $435K | $512K | +17.8% |
| Tract 760008 | $354K | $414K | +17.0% |
| Tract 120004 | $441K | $484K | +9.8% |
| Tract 440001 | $539K | $519K | -3.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760008 | $354K | $414K | $487K |
| Tract 120004 | $441K | $484K | $565K |
| Tract 320008 | $435K | $512K | $597K |
| Tract 440001 | $539K | $519K | $786K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources