County 16060, ID · Census Tract 16060686005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.18M
Downside (P10)
$1.18M
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.60M
-27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.03M
-7% by 2030
Base case: -27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to -7%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 16060 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.2M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -3.9% | -10.2% | -11.9% | -3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.3M | $2.1M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.81M to $2.48M
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.18M to $2.03M
53.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 661004 | $2.31M | $1.63M | -29.5% |
| Tract 440005 | $2.36M | $1.59M | -32.6% |
| Tract 667008 | $1.97M | $1.44M | -27.0% |
| Tract 000005 | $2.40M | $1.78M | -26.0% |
| Tract 678000 | $1.83M | $1.33M | -27.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 684007 | $1.69M | $1.30M | -22.7% |
| Tract 480007 | $2.73M | $2.05M | -25.0% |
| Tract 000005 | $2.40M | $1.78M | -26.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 678000 | $1.83M | $1.33M | $936K |
| Tract 663002 | $2.60M | $1.76M | $1.05M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources