County 19280, IA · Census Tract 19280002783 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$82K
Downside (P10)
$79K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$126K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$231K
+181% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +181%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 19280 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $82K | $101K | $104K | $109K | $126K |
| YoY Change | +22.6% | +3.3% | +4.2% | +15.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $76K | $71K | $70K | $79K | |
| Upside (P90) | $143K | $159K | $174K | $231K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$68K to $119K
62.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$79K to $231K
121.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002408 | $82K | $127K | +53.7% |
| Tract 002929 | $82K | $127K | +54.5% |
| Tract 003342 | $82K | $126K | +52.2% |
| Tract 002107 | $82K | $125K | +52.0% |
| Tract 000549 | $83K | $127K | +53.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003520 | $105K | $178K | +70.1% |
| Tract 000400 | $82K | $136K | +66.1% |
| Tract 002822 | $83K | $138K | +65.7% |
| Tract 003481 | $74K | $120K | +61.3% |
| Tract 002369 | $78K | $126K | +59.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources