County 19010, IA · Census Tract 19010560000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.61M
Downside (P10)
$1.87M
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.35M
-35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.81M
-22% by 2030
Base case: -35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to -22%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 19010 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.6M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $2.5M | $2.4M |
| YoY Change | -3.0% | -15.2% | -16.9% | -4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.8M | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.9M | $3.4M | $2.9M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.27M to $3.86M
16.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.87M to $2.81M
39.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 620005 | $3.74M | $2.84M | -24.2% |
| Tract 480009 | $3.78M | $2.65M | -29.8% |
| Tract 520008 | $3.26M | $2.37M | -27.3% |
| Tract 720002 | $3.03M | $2.08M | -31.4% |
| Tract 840005 | $7.54M | $4.19M | -44.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 620005 | $3.74M | $2.84M | -24.2% |
| Tract 520008 | $3.26M | $2.37M | -27.3% |
| Tract 480009 | $3.78M | $2.65M | -29.8% |
| Tract 720002 | $3.03M | $2.08M | -31.4% |
| Tract 840005 | $7.54M | $4.19M | -44.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480009 | $3.78M | $2.65M | $580K |
| Tract 620005 | $3.74M | $2.84M | $720K |
| Tract 520008 | $3.26M | $2.37M | $1.49M |
| Tract 720002 | $3.03M | $2.08M | $1.55M |
| Tract 840005 | $7.54M | $4.19M | $2.16M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources