County 15350, HI · Census Tract 15350320001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.44M
Downside (P10)
$631K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.13M
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.69M
+18% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +18%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 15350 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | -14.1% | -6.5% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $939K | $705K | $661K | $631K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.14M to $1.71M
39.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$631K to $1.69M
93.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520008 | $1.45M | $1.20M | -17.2% |
| Tract 960008 | $1.38M | $1.06M | -23.1% |
| Tract 160006 | $1.37M | $1.13M | -17.8% |
| Tract 360000 | $1.36M | $1.16M | -14.9% |
| Tract 480006 | $1.35M | $964K | -28.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000203 | $178K | $297K | +66.8% |
| Tract 520001 | $423K | $602K | +42.3% |
| Tract 340107 | $85K | $120K | +42.1% |
| Tract 880008 | $428K | $602K | +40.6% |
| Tract 880007 | $429K | $597K | +39.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 340107 | $85K | $120K | $123K |
| Tract 120000 | $70K | $93K | $139K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources