County 15250, HI · Census Tract 15250360200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$165K
Downside (P10)
$143K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$229K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$358K
+117% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +117%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 15250 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $165K | $188K | $200K | $204K | $229K |
| YoY Change | +13.7% | +6.7% | +1.7% | +12.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $139K | $134K | $143K | |
| Upside (P90) | $255K | $285K | $311K | $358K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$140K to $204K
39.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$143K to $358K
94.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 340107 | $85K | $120K | +42.1% |
| Tract 120000 | $70K | $93K | +31.5% |
| Tract 960008 | $1.38M | $1.06M | -23.1% |
| Tract 520008 | $1.45M | $1.20M | -17.2% |
| Tract 200001 | $1.63M | $1.21M | -26.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 340107 | $85K | $120K | +42.1% |
| Tract 120000 | $70K | $93K | +31.5% |
| Tract 520008 | $1.45M | $1.20M | -17.2% |
| Tract 960008 | $1.38M | $1.06M | -23.1% |
| Tract 040009 | $3.54M | $2.65M | -25.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 340107 | $85K | $120K | $123K |
| Tract 120000 | $70K | $93K | $139K |
| Tract 200001 | $1.63M | $1.21M | $1.00M |
| Tract 960008 | $1.38M | $1.06M | $1.03M |
| Tract 520008 | $1.45M | $1.20M | $1.20M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources