County 12981, FL · Census Tract 12981760004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.71M
Downside (P10)
$1.91M
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.53M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.05M
-18% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to -18%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 12981 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.7M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $2.6M | $2.5M |
| YoY Change | -5.3% | -14.2% | -13.0% | -3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.0M | $2.5M | $2.0M | $1.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.9M | $3.4M | $3.1M | $3.0M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.31M to $3.99M
18.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.91M to $3.05M
45.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240003 | $3.51M | $2.48M | -29.3% |
| Tract 400005 | $2.94M | $2.01M | -31.5% |
| Tract 920006 | $2.74M | $1.91M | -30.5% |
| Tract 560000 | $2.63M | $1.85M | -29.4% |
| Tract 360006 | $2.38M | $1.79M | -24.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360006 | $2.38M | $1.79M | -24.8% |
| Tract 960008 | $2.27M | $1.68M | -26.1% |
| Tract 240003 | $3.51M | $2.48M | -29.3% |
| Tract 560000 | $2.63M | $1.85M | -29.4% |
| Tract 920006 | $2.74M | $1.91M | -30.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560000 | $2.63M | $1.85M | $1.17M |
| Tract 960008 | $2.27M | $1.68M | $1.34M |
| Tract 360006 | $2.38M | $1.79M | $1.34M |
| Tract 920006 | $2.74M | $1.91M | $1.51M |
| Tract 400005 | $2.94M | $2.01M | $1.55M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources